Apple’s iPhone Update Cycle and the Netflix Rumor
May 31, 2016
By Brian Nelson, CFA Have we finally reached the limits when it comes to enhancing the functionality of the smartphone? Many are speculating this to be true, if Apple’s (AAPL) decision to now “take three years between full-model changes of its iPhone devices, a year longer than the current cycle,” is true, as reported by the Nikkei Asian Review May 31. The report comes a mere month after Apple’s first-quarter internal unit sales metrics left much to be desired, “Apple: Nowhere To Run, Nowhere To Hide (April 2016),” where unit sales of the iPhone dropped 16% and where iPad performance was even worse. A logical read-through from the news of a more prolonged update cycle may be that the iPhone
Oil & Gas: Free Cash Flow Negative and Net Debt Heavy
May 31, 2016
Two characteristics define the independent oil and gas space: negative free cash flow and net cash deficits on the books. Read more >>
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 27
May 30, 2016
Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending May 27. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Bank of Montreal (BMO): now C$0.86 per share quarterly dividend, was C$0.84. Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN): now $0.16 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.15. Bunge (BG): now $0.42 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.38. Cabot (CBT): now $0.30 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.22. Canadian Imperial Bank (CM): now C$1.21 per share quarterly dividend, was C$1.18. Donaldson (DCI): now $0.175 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.17.
New Home Sales Leap, Computer Sciences Surges; Xilinx Jumps
May 24, 2016
May 24 brought news that US new home sales rose at the fastest pace in more than 8 years during the month of April 2016. Computer Sciences leaps to our estimate of intrinsic value on buyout news, and Altera rival Xilinx rises on speculation of potential suitor. ————————- By The Valuentum Team New Homes Sales Leap “Sales of new single-family houses in April 2016 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 619,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 16.6 percent (±15.4%) above the revised March rate of 531,000 and is 23.8 percent (±22.8%) above the April 2015 estimate of 500,000… …The median sales price
Why The Fed Matters
May 23, 2016
By Brian Nelson, CFA I tread very lightly in how I communicate broad macroeconomic information. There are investors that are purely macro-focused asset-allocators, there are eternal optimists that believe the sky is the limit regardless of any economic considerations (perhaps like the Oracle of Omaha these days?) and then there are legends like Peter Lynch who is attributed with saying that “if you spend more than 13 minutes analyzing economic and market forecasts, you’ve wasted 10 minutes,” and that “if all the economists in the world were laid end to end, it wouldn’t be a bad thing.” Peter Lynch was the manager of the Fidelity Magellan Fund that averaged a near-30% annual return during the 13-year period ending 1990, “You
Still More Ag Deals Being Cultivated?
May 23, 2016
Image Source: Aqua Mechanical After Monsanto (MON) COO Brett Begemann called any takeover talks “wild speculation” just a week ago, German health care and agricultural product firm Bayer (BAYRY) on May 23 officially confirmed that it has offered to acquire US seeds company Monsanto for $62 billion in cash, or $122 per share. Monsanto’s shares continue to trade at a discount to the disclosed price in light of the uncertain path to deal completion. The proposed offer represents a substantial premium to Monsanto’s May 9 closing price of ~$89 and our standalone fair value estimate in the low $90s. At a deal multiple of nearly 16 times Monsanto’s trailing EBITDA and one far above our fair value estimate, Monsanto shareholders
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 20
May 23, 2016
Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending May 20. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Blue Hills Bancorp (BHBK): now $0.03 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.02. Burberry Group Plc ADR (BURBY): now £37 per share annual dividend, was £35.2 Carriage (CSV): now $0.05 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.025. Cato (CATO): now $0.33 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.30. Chubb (CB): now $0.69 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.67. Cineplex (CPXGF): now C$0.135 per share monthly dividend, was C$0.13. Clorox
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 13
May 20, 2016
Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 13. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week AirBoss of America (ABSSF): now C$0.065 per share quarterly dividend, was C$0.06. Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQUNF): now $0.1059 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.09626. American Software (AMSWA): now $0.11 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. Black Box (BBOX): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11. Colombia Pipeline (CPGX): now $0.13875 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.13375. Connecticut Water Service (CTWS): now $0.2825 per share
Part III: Nelson’s Evaluation of Berkshire’s 2015 Annual Report
May 19, 2016
<< Go back to Part I << Go back to Part II By Brian Nelson, CFA It’s always a wonder to open up on the Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) annual report for a large variety of different reasons, but every time I do I can’t help but ponder yesteryear through the table on page 2, “Berkshire’s Performance vs. the S&P 500.” I think I have a unique knack for imagining what might have been if today’s standards would have been applied to Berkshire in the 1970s, perhaps in some ways how many baseball fans may think about whether the legends of the past would have put up the type of numbers that they did if presented with today’s dynamics. For
