Uncertainty in Retail Remains

May 20, 2016

Image Source: Mike Mozart By Kris Rosemann Just one day after shares of Walmart (WMT) fell on sentiment from the poor quarterly report from rival Target (TGT), “Target and Non-GAAP Earnings (May 2016),” Walmart reported strong first quarter earnings and shares leapt nearly 10% in the May 19 trading session. Other retailers, however, haven’t been as lucky, experiencing material share price declines as of late due to ongoing weakness across many verticals of the retail space. Some noteworthy retailers that have been punished as a result of poor first quarter performance include Macy’s (M), Kohl’s (KSS), and Nordstrom (JWN), among others, including the aforementioned Target. The material weakness across retail comes despite US retail and food service sales beating expectations

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 13

May 20, 2016

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending May 13. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week AirBoss of America (ABSSF): now C$0.065 per share quarterly dividend, was C$0.06. Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQUNF): now $0.1059 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.09626. American Software (AMSWA): now $0.11 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. Black Box (BBOX): now $0.12 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.11. Colombia Pipeline (CPGX): now $0.13875 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.13375. Connecticut Water Service (CTWS): now $0.2825 per share

Part III: Nelson’s Evaluation of Berkshire’s 2015 Annual Report

May 19, 2016

<< Go back to Part I << Go back to Part II By Brian Nelson, CFA It’s always a wonder to open up on the Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) annual report for a large variety of different reasons, but every time I do I can’t help but ponder yesteryear through the table on page 2, “Berkshire’s Performance vs. the S&P 500.” I think I have a unique knack for imagining what might have been if today’s standards would have been applied to Berkshire in the 1970s, perhaps in some ways how many baseball fans may think about whether the legends of the past would have put up the type of numbers that they did if presented with today’s dynamics. For

Flash: Cisco Pops… Shares +6% After-Hours Trading

May 18, 2016

Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Cisco (CSCO) is popping nicely in after-hours trading May 18 after a solid fiscal third-quarter report that showed revenue growth of 3% on a year-over-year basis thanks to strength in Security (+17%), Collaboration (+10%) and SP Video (18%), and GAAP earnings per share of $0.46 (non-GAAP came in at $0.57, up 6% during the period). Service revenue jumped 11% in the quarter on a year-over-year basis, while deferred revenue advanced 8% in total. We’re reiterating our $37 per share fair value estimate of Cisco at this time, and we don’t expect its solid 2.6 Dividend Cushion ratio to change materially as a result of the incremental quarterly information. Shares yield ~4%.

Target and Non-GAAP Earnings

May 18, 2016

Image Source: Mike Mozart Another day of earnings — another bad day for retail. May 18 brought a disappointing first-quarter report from retail bellwether Target (TGT) that sent the prices of it and most of its big box brethren including WalMart (WMT), Best Buy (BBY), and hhgregg (HGG) lower on the session, the latter two lower due to weakness in Target’s electronics vertical during the period. We’re reiterating our $71 per share fair value estimate of Target at the time of this writing. Except perhaps home improvement retailers Lowe’s (LOW) and Home Depot (HD), which continue to post desirable comparable store sales increases (+7.3% and +6.5% in the first quarter, respectively), and arguably the auto retailers, including AutoZone (AZO) and

Soros, Icahn, Nelson Hedge for Market Fall

May 18, 2016

Pictured: George Soros; source: Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung By The Valuentum Team Following news that Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.A, BRK.B) took a rather sizable stake in Apple (AAPL), news flow from other large investors continues to be decidedly bearish. As our members are aware, we recently added put options on the S&P 500 (SPY) to protect capital in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio, a move that may expire worthless but accurately captures our sentiment toward today’s overheated equity market. As of May 13, the forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio on S&P 500 companies is 16.6, above both its 5-year average (14.5) and 10-year average (14.3). Reversion to the 10-year average alone means the S&P 500 Sector SPDR ETF (SPY) has downside risk to ~$170

Big Pharma 1Q Earnings Roundup, Part II

May 17, 2016

Image Source: Paw Paw Companies mentioned: ABBV, AGN, BMY, AMGN, MRK, PFE. AbbVie (ABBV) Riding Humira to the End AbbVie’s performance in the first quarter of 2016 was nothing short of impressive, as the firm grew revenue by more than 18% on an as reported basis from the year-ago period. Humira (arthritis), the company’s headlining drug, sales increased nearly 15% as reported. New drug Imbruvica (leukemia) showed solid momentum in the quarter, and AbbVie received two approvals for the expansion of the Imbruvica as a first line therapy for chronic lymphocytic leukemia. The treatment is expected to play a key role in the future of the company, especially after its patent on Humira expires in December of this year. The

Mr. Buffett: Apple and the Potential Yahoo-eBay Tie-Up

May 16, 2016

Image Source: Fortune Live Media Stocks will be volatile. Remember – they are driven by people, and people act emotionally, irrationally at times. This dynamic has hammered Apple (AAPL) as of late. Though we’ve engaged in risk mitigation in recent months in trimming our position in Apple in both newsletter portfolios, “Valuentum’s Exclusive Weekly Recap (August 2015),” we’ve done all that we can to explain to our membership the tremendous valuation opportunity presented by shares, “Quantifying Apple’s Tremendous Investment Case (September 2015), while acknowledging that market “spirits” could pressure the company in the near term, “Apple Will Go Lower… (January 2016).” The transparency of our writing is enough to make our reader’s heads spin sometimes, perhaps to make them think

Cord Cutting and the New Age Consumer

May 13, 2016

Image Source: Mike Mozart Disney’s Quarterly Performance Reignites Fear On May 10, Disney’s (DIS) shares fell after the company reported lower-than-expected fiscal second-quarter earnings. Investors are concerned with the media and entertainment giant’s weakness in advertising revenue and subscribers in its Media Networks segment, which accounts for more than 60% of the company’s operating income. Was the fiscal second quarter the beginning of a long-term trend for the segment at Disney? As more and more consumers continue to opt away from traditional cable TV, will not only its subscriptions decline, but will demand for advertising space on the networks also fall as fewer consumers are reached through the medium? Investors are fearing the worst. The development is certainly worth following

Teva Bounces After Strong First Quarter

May 13, 2016

Teva remains confident in its combination with Allergan Generics. Image source: Teva quarterly presentation. In July 2015, Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEVA) announced it had agreed to acquire the generic drug portfolio of Allergan (AGN). It was expected that the firm would have to divest certain assets in order to clear the increasingly unpredictable US regulatory requirements, as is common with most acquisitions of its size. The deal was originally anticipated to be completed by the end of the first quarter of 2016, but it was announced March 15 that the transaction would be delayed. However, the process continues to take longer than foreseen, and Teva will have to sell more than the $1 billion in assets

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About Our Name

But how, you will ask, does one decide what [stocks are] "attractive"? Most analysts feel they must choose between two approaches customarily thought to be in opposition: "value" and "growth,"...We view that as fuzzy thinking...Growth is always a component of value [and] the very term "value investing" is redundant.

                         -- Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway annual report, 1992

At Valuentum, we take Buffett's thoughts one step further. We think the best opportunities arise from an understanding of a variety of investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. And a combination of the two approaches found on each side of the spectrum (value/momentum) in a name couldn't be more representative of what our analysts do here; hence, we're called Valuentum.



The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Valuentum Exclusive publication, ESG Newsletter, and any reports, data and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, data or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor, and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. The sources of the data used on this website and reports are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum, its employees, and independent contractors may have long, short or derivative positions in the securities mentioned on this website. The High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, ESG Newsletter portfolio, Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio are not real money portfolios. Performance, including that in the Valuentum Exclusive publication and additional options commentary feature, is hypothetical and does not represent actual trading. Actual results may differ from simulated information, results, or performance being presented. For more information about Valuentum and the products and services it offers, please contact us at info@valuentum.com.