HP Inc. Sets Q1’25 Expectations Below Consensus, Dividend Looks Healthy

January 6, 2025

Image Source: HP Inc. By Brian Nelson, CFA HP Inc. (HPQ) recently reported fourth quarter results for its fiscal 2024. Fourth quarter net revenue was up 1.7% (2.3% in constant currency) from the prior-year period, while fourth quarter non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.93 was roughly in-line with the company’s previously provided outlook between $0.89-$0.99. Net cash provided by operating activities was $1.6 billion, while free cash flow totaled $1.5 billion in the quarter. The company returned $1.2 billion to shareholders in the form of share purchases and dividends in the quarter, while it raised its dividend 5%. Management had the following to say about the quarterly results: We are pleased with our Q4 performance where we saw revenue

Keeping the Horse Before the Cart: Valuentum’s Economic Castle Rating

January 5, 2025

Image Source: Ian By Brian Nelson, CFA “In business, I look for economic castles protected by unbreachable moats.” – Warren Buffett In the world of investing, no other saying may be more widespread. The teachings of Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.A, BRK.B) Warren Buffett have become a favorite among individual investors, having been adopted by money-management firms and sell-side firms alike in order to better connect with their clients and readers who have been ‘under siege’ by the topic in recent years. The phrase ‘economic moat’ – or sustainable competitive advantage – has simply become ubiquitous in the investment world and perhaps has lost much of its significance and meaning along the way. Most management teams across the globe are now eager

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of January 3

January 3, 2025

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending January 3. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Agricultural Bank of China (ACGBY): now $0.4001 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.3101. Alamo (ALG): now $0.30 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.26. B3 S.A. – Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão (BOLSY): now $0.0282 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.0183. Bank OZK (OZK): now $0.42 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.41. Barloworld Limited (BRRAY): now $0.1718 per share semi-annual dividend, was $0.0684. Benchmark Bankshares, Inc. (BMBN):

FedEx Lowers Fiscal 2025 Guidance Again, Plans to Separate FedEx Freight

January 1, 2025

Image: FedEx’s shares have come roaring back since its bottom in the back half of 2022. By Brian Nelson, CFA FedEx (FDX) recently reported mixed fiscal second quarter results with the company missing on the top line, but beating the consensus forecast for non-GAAP earnings per share. Non-GAAP adjusted revenue fell to $22 billion from $22.2 billion in the prior-year quarter, while adjusted operating income dropped to $1.38 billion from $1.42 billion in the same quarter of fiscal 2024. Its adjusted operating margin fell to 6.3% from 6.4%, while adjusted net income fell to $0.99 billion from $1.01 billion previously. Thanks to share buybacks, adjusted diluted earnings per share increased to $4.05 from $3.99 in the prior-year quarter. Here’s more

Costco’s Business Humming Along Nicely, But Stock Is Not Cheap

January 1, 2025

Image Source: Costco By Brian Nelson, CFA Costco Wholesale (COST) recently reported first quarter results for fiscal 2025, with revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share coming in ahead of expectations. Net sales for the first quarter advanced 7.5%, to $60.99 billion from $56.72 billion in the year ago period. Total comparable store sales, after adjusting for the impact of changes in gasoline prices and foreign exchange, increased 7.1% versus the consensus estimate of 6.3%. Comparable traffic rose 5.1%, while comparable ticket edged higher 0.1%. Costco experienced 13.2% adjusted e-commerce expansion in the period. Costco shared some fun facts about growth in its business on the conference call: Our U.S. bakery division has reached new records of 4.2 million pies being

How Does 37% Sound?

December 29, 2024

Image: The Schwab U.S. Large Cap Growth ETF (SCHG) is up more than 37% so far in 2024. By Brian Nelson, CFA How does 37% sound? That was the price-only performance of the Schwab U.S. Large Cap Growth ETF (SCHG) thus far in 2024. Over the preceding 5-year period, the SCHG is up over 140%. For years, I have pounded the table on the theory that there are not value or growth stocks, but rather undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued stocks. It’s why many growth stocks can be undervalued. It’s the Theory of Universal Valuation found in Value Trap that ties myriad areas of finance to the well-known discounted cash-flow [DCF] model. Growth is a component of value. Hook, line,

Nike’s Revenue Under Considerable Pressure; Turnaround Will Take Time

December 27, 2024

Image: Nike’s shares have been under considerable pressure as sales results disappoint. By Brian Nelson, CFA Nike (NKE) reported second quarter earnings on December 19 that beat on both the top and bottom lines. However, quarterly revenues still fell 8% on a reported basis and were down 9% on a currency-neutral basis. NIKE Brand revenues fell 7% on a reported basis and 8% on a currency-neutral basis. NIKE Direct revenues dropped 13% on a reported basis and 14% on a currency-neutral basis, while wholesale revenues fell 3% on a reported basis and 4% when holding currency neutral. Converse revenues declined across all territories, falling 17% on a reported basis and 18% on a currency-neutral basis. Nike’s gross margin dropped 100

Alert: Changes to the Newsletter Portfolios

December 27, 2024

Image Source: Mike Cohen cc by 2.0. Summary Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio Pepsi (PEP): 4%-6% à 0% McDonald’s (MCD): 4%-6% à 0% Amazon (AMZN): 0% à 4%-6% Nvidia (NVDA): 0% à 4%-6% Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio Honeywell (HON): 3%-4% à 0% McDonald’s (MCD): 3%-4% à 0% Meta Platforms (META): 0% à 3%-4% Booking Holdings (BKNG): 0% à 3%-4% By Brian Nelson, CFA 2024 proved to be a great year for stock investors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA) has advanced nearly 15% year-to-date on a price-only basis, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is up a whopping 25%+ on a price-only basis. The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) is up even more at a 27% advance in

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week of December 27

December 27, 2024

Below we provide a list of firms that raised their dividends during the week ending December 27. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week                          Cadiz Inc. 8.875% DEP PFD A (CDZIP): now $0.56 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.55. Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. – Eletrobrás (EBR): now $0.1414 per share annual dividend, was $0.0789. Crazy Woman Creek Bancorp (CRZY): now $0.32 per share annual dividend, was $0.31. Preferred Bank (PFBC): now $0.75 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.70. United Bancorporation of Alabama (UBAB): now $0.60 per share semi-annual

Shares of UnitedHealth Group and Vertex Pharma Sour

December 19, 2024

Image Source: Rodrigo Senna cc by 2.0. By Brian Nelson, CFA Over the past few weeks, UnitedHealth Group (UNH) has faced a plethora of negativity. First, UnitedHealthcare CEO was shot and killed – not UnitedHealth Group’s CEO Andrew Witty – but the CEO of its health benefits unit. The killing happened right before UnitedHealth’s plans for its annual Investor Day. The event sparked social media outrage against U.S. health insurers. There has also been new legislation introduced to potentially break up pharmacy benefit managers. President-elect Donald Trump has also made statements to the effect of breaking up the middlemen in reference to the pharmacy benefit managers. As of right now, we continue to monitor the situation, but the risks have substantially

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About Our Name

But how, you will ask, does one decide what [stocks are] "attractive"? Most analysts feel they must choose between two approaches customarily thought to be in opposition: "value" and "growth,"...We view that as fuzzy thinking...Growth is always a component of value [and] the very term "value investing" is redundant.

                         -- Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway annual report, 1992

At Valuentum, we take Buffett's thoughts one step further. We think the best opportunities arise from an understanding of a variety of investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. And a combination of the two approaches found on each side of the spectrum (value/momentum) in a name couldn't be more representative of what our analysts do here; hence, we're called Valuentum.



The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Valuentum Exclusive publication, ESG Newsletter, and any reports, data and content found on this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, data or publications and accepts no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a registered investment advisor, and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. The sources of the data used on this website and reports are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum, its employees, and independent contractors may have long, short or derivative positions in the securities mentioned on this website. The High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, ESG Newsletter portfolio, Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio are not real money portfolios. Performance, including that in the Valuentum Exclusive publication and additional options commentary feature, is hypothetical and does not represent actual trading. Actual results may differ from simulated information, results, or performance being presented. For more information about Valuentum and the products and services it offers, please contact us at info@valuentum.com.