PayPal, Facebook Post Strong Second-Quarter Results

July 27, 2017

Image shown: Facebook’s traditional free cash flow (CFO less capital expenditures), in millions. Two of our favorite holdings in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio put up strong second-quarter results. We continue to like their respective shares. By Brian Nelson, CFA Online payments processor PayPal (PYPL) and social media advertising giant Facebook (FB) are two of our favorite holdings in the portfolio of the Best Ideas Newsletter. Both forward-leaning, mobile-oriented companies reported second-quarter results after the market closed July 26, and both have traded higher following the release. PayPal’s revenue advanced 20% in the second quarter, after excluding effects from currency exchange, and the company leveraged that growth into an impressive 27% jump in GAAP and non-GAAP earnings per share, the

Hasbro Hit by Gross Margin, Timing Issues

July 27, 2017

Shares of Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Hasbro dropped after the company reported its second quarter earnings. By Kris Rosemann Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio holding Hasbro (HAS) has been knocking the proverbial cover off the ball with returns (its stock has nearly tripled since being added to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio) and the company has rival Mattel’s (MAT) back against the wall, but the toy giant’s shares recently hit a speed bump. In its second-quarter results, released July 24, Hasbro reported revenue growth of 11%, operating profit margin expansion of 60 basis points, and net earnings-per-diluted-share growth of nearly 30%, but shares faced significant pressure following the release. On the surface, it looks to be another strong quarterly report

General Motors May Offer an Incredible Opportunity

July 26, 2017

We continue to believe GM’s valuation and dividend profile may be too good to pass up. At the very least, it should receive a multiple on current-year earnings like that of the airlines, another cyclical boom-or-bust industry that has traditionally been associated with bankruptcy. By Brian Nelson, CFA On July 25, General Motors (GM) showed why we include shares in both the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio and Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio when it reported strong second-quarter results. There are three things that you must know about GM’s stock. One, GM’s annual dividend of $1.52 per share means the corporate is yielding ~4.2% at present levels, or roughly double that of the average S&P 500 company. For a corporate, this level of

Earnings Roundup: McDonald’s, 3M, IBM

July 25, 2017

Let’s recap a few big earnings announcements. By Brian Nelson, CFA McDonald’s (MCD) Stock Has Been Super Sized We expect to raise our fair value estimate of McDonald’s following second-quarter results, released July 25, that showed ongoing strength in comparable store sales and the operating income benefits of continued refranchising efforts. Incredibly, global comparable store sales at McDonald’s increased 6.6% in the second quarter, blowing by consensus estimates, and operating income advanced at a 24% clip on a year-over-year basis. Management noted that the second quarter marked the “strongest global comparable sales and guest count results in more than five years.” Nothing appears to be able to stop McDonald’s these days, and increased refranchising de-risks its business model from ongoing

Stocks in the News: Kinder Morgan, Union Pacific, Colgate-Palmolive

July 25, 2017

Let’s cover the quarterly reports from a few industry bellwethers. By Brian Nelson, CFA Kinder Morgan (KMI) Plans for Dividend Hikes Kinder Morgan appears to be back on track, something that it set the stage for in early 2016 when Barron’s wrote about Valuentum’s take, “Is Kinder Morgan on the Road to Recovery (January 2016).” The pipeline operator continues to trade near our fair value estimate of $20, so it’s hard to make the case that there is a tremendous valuation opportunity in shares, though its prospects for a return to dividend growth have improved. On July 19, Kinder Morgan announced that it expects to raise its dividend by 60% in 2018 and advance the payout at a 25% yearly

Stocks in the News: Visa, Microsoft, General Electric

July 21, 2017

Image source: Visa Let’s have a look at the quarterly reports from a few stocks in the news July 21. By Brian Nelson, CFA Visa’s (V) Margin Profile Remains Excellent Top-weighted position in the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio is approaching the “century mark” after reporting solid fiscal third-quarter results July 20. Visa’s net operating revenue advanced 26% on a year-over-year basis in the quarter thanks in part to the inclusion of Visa Europe, and the company recorded GAAP net income of $2.1 billion, or $0.86 per share, better than consensus expectations. Visa CEO Alfred Kelly noted that performance reflected “strong growth in payments volume, cross-border volume, and processed transactions, which were powered by economic tailwinds in the US and globally.” We

Novartis’ Clinical Pipeline Continues to Innovate

July 19, 2017

We continue to be impressed with the depth of Novartis’ clinical pipeline, which should aid in the company’s acceleration from the revenue cliff experienced as a result of the patent loss of top-selling product Gleevec. We are adding Novartis to the portfolio of the Dividend Growth Newsletter. By Alexander J. Poulos Overview Novartis’ (NVS) primary strength, in our view, remains the company’s diverse revenue stream. Thus far, for example, Novartis has capably handled the revenue cliff from the loss of patent protection of its top-selling product Gleevec admirably, with only a 1% drop in sales during the first half of 2016. Though such a dynamic can change in coming periods, we have found the relative predictability of Novartis’ revenue stream

Stocks in the News: Harley-Davidson, Johnson & Johnson, Netflix

July 18, 2017

Earnings season is picking up. Let’s evaluate a few quarterly reports from some bellwethers. By Brian Nelson, CFA Harley-Davidson (HOG) Not Revving Like It Used To We plan to update our report and fair value estimate of Harley-Davidson following its weak second-quarter report, released July 18. Both revenue and net income faced pressure on a year-over-year basis in the period, with earnings per share falling 4.5%. Management spoke of “challenging market conditions,” and the executive team is right about that: Harley-Davidson worldwide retail motorcycle sales fell 6.7% in the quarter, while Harley-Davidson retail motorcycle sales in the US were down more than 9%. The company’s US market share is holding up (~48.5%), but we are starting to worry about more

ETF Analysis: Consumer Staples

July 17, 2017

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Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending July 14

July 17, 2017

Below we provide a list of firms that raised/lowered their dividends during the week ending July 14. The dividend reports of covered firms on this list will be updated shortly with the new information. To access our dividend reports use the ‘Symbol’ search box in our website header. Firms Raising Their Dividends This Week Acme United (ACU): now $0.11 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. Antero Midstream (AM): now $0.32 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.30. Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund (ARDC): now $0.1050 per share monthly dividend, was $0.1025. Basset Furniture (BSET): now $0.11 per share quarterly dividend, was $0.10. China Petroleum & Chemical (SNP): now $2.2013 per share semi-annual dividend, was $1.0532. Computer Services (CSVI): now $0.31 per

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About Our Name

But how, you will ask, does one decide what [stocks are] "attractive"? Most analysts feel they must choose between two approaches customarily thought to be in opposition: "value" and "growth,"...We view that as fuzzy thinking...Growth is always a component of value [and] the very term "value investing" is redundant.

                         -- Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway annual report, 1992

At Valuentum, we take Buffett's thoughts one step further. We think the best opportunities arise from an understanding of a variety of investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. And a combination of the two approaches found on each side of the spectrum (value/momentum) in a name couldn't be more representative of what our analysts do here; hence, we're called Valuentum.



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