Nike Reports Blowout Earnings in the Face of COVID-19
March 25, 2020
Image Shown: Shares of Nike Inc reclaimed some of their lost ground on March 25 after the sports apparel company reported a blowout earnings report. By Callum Turcan On March 24, Nike Inc (NKE) reported blowout earnings for its third quarter of fiscal 2020 (period ended February 29, 2020) with its revenues and non-GAAP EPS figures coming in well above consensus estimates. The sports apparel firm’s sales rose by 5% year-over-year on a GAAP basis, and 7% on a constant currency non-GAAP basis, due to strong growth at its Nike Direct offering (a digitally oriented direct to consumer distribution system) which helped drive 36% digital sales growth. Please note that Nike sold off its Hurley brand last fiscal quarter, which
Gut-Wrenching Volatility and Credit Facility Panic
March 25, 2020
Image shown: Stock markets have never been this volatile in history. — By Brian Nelson, CFA — The markets are gyrating again Wednesday morning, March 25, as investors digest the passing of a stimulus package to mitigate the dire impact on the U.S. economy of the COVID-19 outbreak, which continues to run rampant around the world, with the World Health Organization pointing to the United States (New York) as the next epicenter of the virus. We’ll have more to say about the stimulus plan later today, but there are a few things I wanted to make you aware of in the meantime. — The Dow Jones Industrial Average registered its largest one-day point gain during the trading session March 24 (one of its highest percentage
US Fiscal Stimulus Update
March 23, 2020
Image Source: frankieleon The US Congress is debating and working on a massive multi-trillion dollar fiscal stimulus package to mitigate the negative impact the ongoing novel coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic is having on the domestic economy and to provide for additional healthcare funds to cash-strapped entities to combat the virus. To read our previous US fiscal stimulus article, click here. By Callum Turcan After a failed vote on the U.S. fiscal stimulus bill (specifically, a shell bill to speed the legislative process along) in the Senate on Sunday, March 22, a program that’s worth around $1.5-$2.0 trillion (negotiations are ongoing), the legislative body picked up where it left off on Monday, March 23. After initially proposing to hold a vote in
Fed and Treasury Efforts Might Not Be Enough to Avoid Another Great Depression
March 23, 2020
Image: The Energy Select Sector SPDR and Financial Select Sector SPDR, two securities removed from both the Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio in August 2019 have been ravaged during this market selloff. We maintain our view that the energy and banking sectors are worth avoiding during this market meltdown. By Brian Nelson, CFA Let’s not mince words: We’re facing a global financial crisis and the real and growing probability of another Great Depression (not recession, but depression). The Fed has unleashed just about every backstop facility that it did during the Great Financial Crisis of 2007-2009, with the announcement the morning of March 23, and it is now even buying corporate bond ETFs (LQD). It’s possible
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) — Sky News
March 22, 2020
“The crisis gripping the town at the centre of the global COVID-19 crisis in Italy has been witnessed by Sky News’ Chief Correspondent Stuart Ramsay.” — Sky News Related: MRNA, INO, NVAX, BNTX, APDN, VXRT, TNXP, EBS, PFE, JNJ, DVAX, IMV, IBIO, REGN, SNY, GSK, ABBV, TAK, HTBX, SRNE
Our Reports on Stocks in the Oil & Gas – Majors Industry
March 22, 2020
Structure of the Oil & Gas (majors) Industry The global oil and gas industry is dominated by state-owned firms, including member nations of OPEC, which have a large influence on pricing. Public constituents are not small, however, as firms in this group make up a large portion of the energy sector’s market cap. Oil and gas prices are the key profit driver and largely reflect supply/demand dynamics, though it is not uncommon for speculative/geopolitical price premiums to occur. A firm’s estimated reserve life and cost for exploration and development should be monitored closely. We’re neutral on the structure of the majors, given their commoditized product. However, the world’s growing need for energy offers tremendous opportunities for constituents. We’ve reallocated our
Our Reports on Stocks in the IT Services Industry
March 22, 2020
Image Source: Ashwin Kumar Structure of the IT Services Industry The IT services industry is composed of offshore entities that provide outsourced IT infrastructure at a low cost and contractors that provide a variety of services to US government agencies. Success is often dependent on the talent of a firm’s technology professionals and the effective execution of service offerings. Most constituents generate significant cash flow and high returns on investment due to minimal capital requirements. Still, competition remains fierce, and recent government actions to stimulate rivalry and reduce the number of sole source awards has weighed on some participants. We’re neutral on the group. We’ve updated our tech coverage universe. See here.
Boeing’s Fall from Grace
March 21, 2020
Image: Boeing was added to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio January 27, 2017, and removed March 16, 2018, prior to the unfortunate accidents that have claimed the lives of hundreds of people. We warned readers to stay far away of Boeing’s stock days before its huge collapse. The rating agencies have slashed Boeing’s credit rating, and the firm has now suspended its dividend. By Brian Nelson, CFA We received a comment from a guest about Boeing, and we wanted to clarify our prior research calls on the company. Boeing’s (BA) fall from grace has been largely documented in our prior writings here (March 11, 2020) and here (January 23, 2020), so we won’t spend much time recapping the series of
Stress in the Oil & Gas Industry Grows as Major Energy Exporters Hunker Down
March 20, 2020
Image Shown: WTI is down almost 61% over the past year as raw energy resources prices were decimated by the news that OPEC and non-OPEC members couldn’t reach another production curtailment deal in early-March 2020. By Callum Turcan Raw energy resources pricing has crashed through the floor, so to speak, with WTI (USO) (US oil pricing benchmark), Brent (BNO) (international oil pricing benchmark), Henry Hub (UNG) (US natural gas pricing benchmark), and the LNG Japan/Korea Marker (pricing benchmark for liquefied natural gas [‘LNG’] deliveries to East Asian markets) are all trading at or near multi-decade lows as of this writing. The pricing for natural gas liquids (‘NGLs’), like ethane, propane, and butane, have also come crashing down (seen through Mont
Op-Ed: Bail Out Boeing, No Other Publicly Traded Companies
March 20, 2020
Image: Boeing B-17E Fortress 41-2599 “Tugboat Annie”; took part in the Battle of Midway in Jun ’42; later ditched at sea on 16 Jan 43. Source. Dear Uncle Sam: Please stop bailing out the competition of small business. We need a changing of the guard. Let capitalism work. By Brian Nelson, CFA Let’s get this out of the way first: The U.S. government is going to bail out everybody, and that’s just how it’s going to be. It’s what we’ve become, a Bailout Nation. However, let me give you a perspective from a business owner in the financial industry. Valuentum is an investment research publisher, and while we’re not a financial advisor or broker, our team competes indirectly with many
