Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

Symbol Keyword

Jul 7, 2022

2022 Oil & Gas Market Update: “The Outlook for Crude Oil Prices Remains Quite Bullish”
In our view, the outlook for crude oil prices remains quite bullish which in turn should enable Chevron and Exxon Mobil, two of our favorite newsletter portfolio ideas, to churn out “gobs” of free cash flow over the coming quarters. Additionally, both Chevron and Exxon Mobil have substantial exposure to natural gas prices, in part through their enormous LNG export facilities in Australia, which should further support their cash flow generating abilities. We will caution here that a key downside risk the global energy complex faces is potential demand destruction as consumers adjust their lifestyles accordingly to reduce their energy and fuel bills. With that in mind, we have yet to see energy demand falter in a meaningful way, though we are keeping a close eye on the state of the global economy.

Jan 11, 2022

Valuentum’s Theses on Best Ideas Chevron and Exxon Mobil Playing Out
Image Shown: Shares of Chevron Corporation (the green/red bars) and Exxon Mobil Corporation (the blue/yellow bars) have been on a nice upward climb over the past six months with room to run higher as investors are rotating into energy firms in a big way. Raw energy resources pricing has surged higher during the past year with room to run. The global energy complex is on the rebound as demand for crude oil and refined petroleum products is steadily recovering from the worst of the coronavirus (‘COVID-19’) pandemic. As demand for electricity and heating needs held up well during the pandemic, liquified natural gas prices (‘LNG’) put up a strong year in 2021 and remain elevated. The OPEC+ cartel is committed to slowly phasing out its crude oil supply curtailment agreement first enacted in 2020, effectively limiting growth in global oil supplies at a time when demand is rebounding at a brisk pace. We view the near-term outlook for the global energy complex quite favorably and have been pounding the table on this issue for some time. Back on June 27, 2021, we added Chevron Corp and Exxon Mobil Corp as ideas to both the Best Ideas Newsletter and Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolios and highlighted these portfolio changes. Shares of CVX and XOM yield a juicy ~4.3% and ~5.1% as of this writing, respectively. Recently, shares of both CVX and XOM have started shifting higher, and in our view, this is just the beginning of a strong cyclical recovery. We also recently added Chevron and Exxon Mobil as ideas to the High Yield Dividend Newsletter portfolio, and highlighted two of our favorite midstream master limited partnerships (‘MLPs’) in that publication as well. Our fair value estimate for Chevron sits at $140 per share and the high end of our fair value estimate range sits at $175 per share, while CVX is trading at ~$127 as of this writing. Our fair value estimate for Exxon Mobil sits at $92 per share and the high end of our fair value estimate range sits at $122 per share, while XOM is trading at ~$71 per share as of this writing. As investors continue to rotate into energy firms, we expect that the stock prices of Chevron and Exxon Mobil will continue converging towards our estimate of their respective intrinsic values.

Nov 21, 2016

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending November 18
Let's take a look at companies raising/lowering their dividends this week.

Nov 30, 2015

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending November 27
Let's take a look at companies raising/lowering their dividends this week.

Nov 30, 2014

Dividend Increases for the Week Ending November 28
Let's take a look at dividend increases for the week ending November 28.

Sep 2, 2014

The Dividend Dilemma
Remember that you’re putting your hard-earned capital at risk for an income stream. Be sure to keep your guard up.

Nov 22, 2013

Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending November 22
Let's take a look at dividend increases/decreases for the week ending November 22.

Oct 18, 2013

PPG Posts Record Third Quarter Results; Our Favorite Idea in the Chemicals Industry
Let’s examine PPG’s third-quarter performance. This chemicals firm is one for the radar.

Aug 14, 2013

Chemical Firms Continue to Worry About Economy; PPG Industries, Ecolab, and Eastman Chemical Stand Out in Second Quarter
Second-quarter performance from firms in the chemicals (broad) industry wasn’t great, and many expressed concerns about the economy going forward. Still, PPG Industries, Ecolab, and Eastman Chemical stood out as the top fundamental performers.

Aug 15, 2012

Home Depot’s Second Quarter Report Was Strong; Will Lowe’s Follow?
We take a look at Home Depot's strong second quarter and expect Lowe's will follow suit.