Valuentum Exclusive Analysis for the Discerning Investor

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Sep 28, 2022

Things Are Bad Out There
The Bank of England’s intervention to stem what might have turned into a “run on the bank” dynamic for pension funds in the country amid a collapsing pound has given rise to the view that the Fed may start to slow its rate of increases amid global uncertainty. We think it’s too early to tell. From our perspective, the Fed remains committed to stomping out inflation, something that it may not truly be able to do, given that interest rate hikes may be too blunt of an instrument to stymie food cost inflation, which remains one of the the biggest inflationary headwinds that is hurting consumer budgets. What is happening on the global stage is quite concerning, and we remain bearish on the equity markets. The bull case may very well be a deep recession in the U.S., where dollar cost averaging in the U.S. markets could be had, followed by sharp interest rate cuts by the Fed, and a return to all-time highs. This is not a time to lose interest, but a time to pay even closer attention to your investments. What you do over the next couple years will have implications on your portfolio 5, 10, and 20 years forward. Let’s keep focused on preserving and building long-term wealth!

Dec 16, 2019

ICYMI: Interview with Valuentum’s Callum Turcan
Callum Turcan helps head up Valuentum’s research product and is co-editor of the company’s newsletters. We sat down with Callum to get his thoughts on new developments in the market and economy. Let’s kick things off with his thoughts on Brexit.

Sep 11, 2018

In the News: Brexit, Unilever Simplification, and Geopolitical Uncertainty
Uncertainty related to Brexit continues to loom over the outlooks of multinational companies operating in Europe, and other geopolitical issues are making their presence known on global markets as well.

Jan 28, 2018

The US Dollar, GDP Expansion, and Earnings
Investors wouldn’t think news flow is that robust given that stock market volatility in recent months has been practically nil, but news is coming in fast. Let’s check up on the performance of the US dollar, the rate of GDP growth as well as key companies reporting fourth-quarter earnings. Intel’s quarterly report was fantastic, for one!

May 17, 2017

Volatility Spikes, Oh Cisco, the Mighty US Dollar, and More
Image Source: CBOE. Let’s talk about recent market events May 17. There’s a lot going on.

Dec 17, 2016

Recent Material Fair Value Estimate Changes
Image Source: Valuentum. Let’s explore some recent material fair value estimate changes.

Oct 27, 2016

Earnings Insight – Visa
Image source: Visa. Let’s cover some ground on Visa’s calendar third-quarter report, its fiscal fourth-quarter release.

Oct 8, 2016

Currency: Cases in Probabilistic Thinking
The rally in the Mexican peso relative to the US dollar during the first Trump-Clinton debate of 2016 showcased the increased likelihood of a Clinton victory, in light of Trump's current political agenda. Instances like this, where currency markets serve to act as a probability indicator of the likelihood of a future event, have occurred through the course of history, the most fasinating of which happened during the American Civil War and with Confederate scrip specifically.