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Valuentum Commentary
Jun 11, 2020
5 Years Later – #ThrowbackThursday on MLPs
Since Valuentum warned against the significant risks of the MLP business model June 11, 2015, on a price basis, the Alerian MLP ETF has fallen by more than 65%, while the S&P 500 has surged nearly 50%. There have been dozens and dozens of explicit (or phantom) MLP distribution cuts since we released our thesis 5 years ago to this day, and many MLPs have subsequently simplified their business models, rolling up into C-corps, as we predicted. May 1, 2020
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending May 1
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Nov 13, 2019
Chesapeake Energy’s Pain Indicates Nothing “Safe” About Energy MLP Distributions
Image Source: Valuentum slide deck, December 2015. Valuentum released its bearish case on MLPs in June 2015. Summary There is nothing "safe" in the stock market, and given the track record of the distributions of pipeline MLPs, there is nothing "safe" about pipeline MLP distributions. The MLP business model continues to be phased out, a trend that we anticipated when we made our bearish call on the group in June 2015. Chesapeake Energy's pain is a yet another reminder of the pipeline MLP group's exposure to energy resource pricing through the health (or rather ill-health) of its customer base. We continue to encourage pipeline operators to disclose free cash flow (cash flow from operations less all gross capital spending) prominently in press releases, alongside other industry-specific metrics. Investors of Chesapeake could get completely wiped out in a Chesapeake bankruptcy, and this could have implications across the pipeline MLP arena. Aug 7, 2019
Tallgrass Energy’s Growth Runway Shorter Than Expected
Image Source: Tallgrass Energy LP -- IR Presentation. We parted with Tallgrass as we see greater opportunities in other midstream firms and different parts of the high-yield universe, such as Enterprise Products Partners, which have stronger growth runways and assets that better cater to the ever-evolving needs of North America’s oil & gas industry. Recent weakness in TGE indicates the market is losing faith in Tallgrass’ growth trajectory and its future free cash flows. Jul 26, 2019
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending July 26
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Apr 26, 2019
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending April 26
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Feb 17, 2019
S&P Global: "Enterprise's shift on cash flow reflects 'metamorphosis' of US pipeline firms"
S&P Global: "While several major U.S. energy pipeline companies spent 2018 shedding cash-leaking habits and forging a more conventional financial structure as stocks languished, adopting reporting practices that are more accessible to the investing public could be a gradual process for the industry, if it takes flight at all." Jan 18, 2019
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending January 18
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Oct 26, 2018
Dividend Increases/Decreases for the Week Ending October 26
Let's take a look at companies that raised/lowered their dividend this week. Oct 22, 2018
Hi-Crush and EnLink Join Growing List of MLP Simplifications
Image Source: EnLink transaction presentation.A number of master limited partnerships continue to transition to more simplified structures as they attempt to become increasingly nimble organizations. Latest News and Media The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
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